26 Nov 2024

Based on the two documents “226718 NIAO Major Capital Projects_FINAL LW RES Complete.pdf” and “NI Audit Office Report – Major Capital Projects (follow-up).pdf”, here are the projects ranked by largest cost overruns:

  1. A5 Western Transport Corridor
    Cost overrun: £901 million
    Original estimate: £799m
    Current estimate: £1.7bn
    Main causes: Legal challenges, planning issues, funding constraints, environmental assessments
  2. Regional Children’s Hospital
    Cost overrun: £366.6 million
    Original estimate: £223m
    Current estimate: £589.6m
    Main causes: Design changes, changes in guidance/legislation, inflation, market conditions
  3. Strule Shared Education Campus
    Cost overrun: £197.4 million
    Original estimate: £168.9m
    Current estimate: £366.3m
    Main causes: Procurement issues, limited market interest, lack of precedent for benchmarking costs
  4. Belfast Transport Hub
    Cost overrun: £131.1 million
    Original estimate: £208.9m
    Current estimate: £340m
    Main causes: Extraordinary inflation, market conditions
  5. Energy Centre at Royal Victoria Hospital
    Cost overrun: £117 million
    Original estimate: £42.5m
    Current estimate: £159.5m
    Main causes: Not specifically detailed in reports
  6. Ulster University Greater Belfast Development
    Cost overrun: £103.8 million
    Original estimate: £254m
    Current estimate: £357.8m
    Main causes: Construction defects, contractor administration, funding issues
  7. Critical Care Centre
    Cost overrun: £60.8 million
    Original estimate: £95m
    Final cost: £155.8m
    Main causes: Construction quality issues, changes in standards/guidance
  8. Cityside HCC
    Cost overrun: £54.4 million
    Original estimate: £71.4m
    Current estimate: £125.8m
    Main causes: Not specifically detailed
  9. Ulster Hospital Phase B Main Build
    Cost overrun: £84.4 million
    Original estimate: £195.3m
    Final cost: £279.7m
    Main causes: Not specifically detailed
  10. Maternity Hospital
    Cost overrun: £39.9 million
    Original estimate: £57.2m
    Current estimate: £97.1m
    Main causes: Delays from COVID-19, changes in standards/guidance, complexity of working on live hospital site

The report highlights systemic issues across projects including:

  • Funding constraints and uncertainty
  • Legal challenges and planning issues
  • Limited interest from construction industry
  • Construction quality issues
  • Changes in standards and guidance during projects
  • Market conditions and inflation
  • Lack of early stakeholder engagement
  • Procurement process issues
  • Capacity and capability gaps in project management

The reports emphasize that while individual factors contributed to specific project overruns, there are fundamental weaknesses in Northern Ireland’s commissioning and delivery system for major capital projects that enable these substantial cost and time overruns to continue occurring.