- BY Kevin Barry BSc(Hons) MRICS
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The 32 Core Subjects in Any Serious Debate About a United Ireland
A balanced, structured framework across nationalist and unionist concerns — and how solvable each issue actually is.
Debate around a potential United Ireland is usually loud on emotion and quiet on structure. To have a genuinely useful conversation, each side needs a clear map of what the actual issues are — not rumours, not party spin, but the real subject areas that matter to people.
Below is a balanced, 32-topic framework:
- 16 concerns usually raised from a nationalist perspective
- 16 concerns usually raised from a unionist/loyalist/protestant perspective
- Each given a “solvability score” (0–100) based on how close we realistically are to a workable solution
- And judged on whether 70% compromise or 100% resolution is realistically possible
This is not propaganda for any side. It’s a structured tool to help people debate seriously — and to focus on problems that can actually be solved.
Part 1: The Nationalist-Leaning Issues (16)
1. Identity, Flag, Anthem & Symbols
How should the new state present itself?
Solvability: 40/100 – technically solvable but emotionally fraught.
70% achievable: Yes. 100%: No.
2. Equality of Irish Cultural Expression
Guarantees for Irish language and identity.
Solvability: 60/100 – frameworks already exist.
70%: Yes. 100%: Maybe.
3. New All-Ireland Political Institutions
Parliament shape, Ulster protections, regional vetoes.
Solvability: 35/100 – needs major design work.
70%: Possible. 100%: No.
4. Economic Benefits of Unity
FDI, EU scale, productivity.
Solvability: 55/100 – modelling exists but contested.
70%: Yes. 100%: No.
5. Aligning Public Services (health, welfare, education)
NHS vs ROI mixed system.
Solvability: 30/100.
70%: Uncertain. 100%: No.
6. Cultural & Language Rights
Irish, Ulster-Scots, bilingual spaces.
Solvability: 65/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: No.
7. Transitional Justice & Legacy
Truth-telling, victims’ frameworks.
Solvability: 25/100 – extremely difficult.
70%: Very challenging. 100%: Impossible.
8. EU Membership for the North
Automatic via unity.
Solvability: 70/100 – the clearest legal pathway.
70%: Yes. 100%: Almost.
9. Customs & Border Removal
One island economy, no internal border.
Solvability: 60/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: No.
10. Regional Autonomy in a New Ireland
Real power for Ulster and border regions.
Solvability: 55/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: No.
11. Taxation & Funding (incl. option to pay Belfast or Dublin)
Dual tax authority or fiscal federalism.
Solvability: 40/100 – radical but possible in part.
70%: Maybe (partial). 100%: No.
12. Housing, Land & Development Balance
Avoiding Dublin centralisation.
Solvability: 45/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: No.
13. Policing & Justice Integration
PSNI, Gardaí, courts alignment.
Solvability: 35/100.
70%: Maybe. 100%: No.
14. Environment, Energy, Climate
All-island grid and renewable strategy.
Solvability: 65/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: Maybe.
15. Healthcare Entitlements
NHS-style free care vs ROI mixed system.
Solvability: 30/100.
70%: Uncertain. 100%: No.
16. Education & Curriculum Alignment
History, exams, civic content.
Solvability: 40/100.
70%: Maybe. 100%: No.
Part 2: The Unionist / Loyalist / Protestant-Leaning Issues (16)
17. Protection of British Identity & Citizenship
Continuing to be fully British in law and culture.
Solvability: 55/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: No.
18. Role of the Monarchy
Symbolic connection to the Crown.
Solvability: 30/100.
70%: Perhaps symbolically. 100%: No.
19. Orange Culture & Parading Rights
Legal protections for parades and tradition.
Solvability: 50/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: No.
20. Constitutional Safeguards for Protestants
Avoiding feeling locked in as a permanent minority.
Solvability: 40/100.
70%: Maybe. 100%: No.
21. Protection of Protestant Churches & Schools
Faith schooling, property rights, funding.
Solvability: 70/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: Nearly.
22. Tax Shock & Subvention Loss Fears
Will people be worse off financially?
Solvability: 35/100.
70%: Maybe with solid modelling. 100%: No.
23. Policing Neutrality & Trust
Fear of bias in enforcement.
Solvability: 40/100.
70%: Maybe. 100%: No.
24. British Cultural Markers
Flags, BBC, football teams, heritage.
Solvability: 60/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: No.
25. Housing & Demographic Security
Fear of being edged out or deprioritised.
Solvability: 30/100.
70%: Possibly with oversight. 100%: No.
26. Education – Fear of “Green-washing”
Curriculum imbalances.
Solvability: 40/100.
70%: Maybe. 100%: No.
27. Policing of Loyalist Protest
Rights to protest without discrimination.
Solvability: 45/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: No.
28. Shared Spaces & Council Control
Who decides on murals, flags, cultural displays?
Solvability: 50/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: No.
29. Loyalist Paramilitary Transition
Disbandment, reintegration, ending control over estates.
Solvability: 20/100 – one of the toughest issues.
70%: Very difficult. 100%: Impossible.
30. Jobs Linked to UK State Structures
Civil service, MoD sites, agencies.
Solvability: 45/100.
70%: Maybe. 100%: No.
31. Pensions, Benefits & UK Contributions
Keeping entitlements earned under the UK system.
Solvability: 55/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: Nearly.
32. The Role of London After Unity
Guarantor, funding partner, cultural protector.
Solvability: 50/100.
70%: Yes. 100%: No.
What the Solvability Scores Actually Tell Us
Across all 32 topics, three clusters appear clearly:
1. The “Technical but Solvable” Group (scores 55–70)
These issues need planning, money and legislation — but are not fundamentally ideological.
Examples:
- EU membership
- Energy/environment policy
- Equality guarantees
- BBC/sport/culture access
- Social security coordination
- Faith school protections
Conclusion:
These are the easy wins in any transition plan.
2. The “Hard Politics & Trust Gap” Group (scores 35–55)
These involve money, constitutional guarantees and public confidence.
Examples:
- Taxation models (incl. Dublin vs Belfast choice)
- Policing neutrality
- Regional autonomy
- Curriculum frameworks
- Job protections
- Council control of shared spaces
- Subvention certainty
Conclusion:
They are solvable, but require sequencing, time, and credibility.
3. The “Identity & Memory” Group (scores 20–40)
Highly emotional, historically loaded issues where perfect solutions don’t exist.
Examples:
- Monarchy
- Permanent minority anxiety
- Paramilitary transition
- Legacy justice
- NHS/ROI health system merge
- Demography fears
- Symbols/flag/anthem choices
Conclusion:
There is no 100% solution. A 70% settlement is likely the best that a functioning, stable united Ireland could aim for.
Where Does the “Choose Belfast or Dublin for Your Taxes” Idea Fit?
Your suggestion — letting individuals or companies choose to pay their taxes to either Belfast or Dublin — fits within the fiscal federalism section.
Realistic path:
Phase 1:
Regional fiscal autonomy for a Belfast executive inside a united Ireland.
Phase 2:
Assigned taxes (e.g. income tax bands, corporate tax options, business rates).
Phase 3 (partial choice):
Specific sectors or self-employed individuals choose their tax authority.
Phase 4 (unlikely full model):
Universal free “choose your treasury” mechanism.
Conclusion:
A partial version is realistic. A full version is probably unworkable long-term.
Final Thoughts: The Debate Needs Structure, Not Slogans
This 32-topic map shows one thing very clearly:
The difficult issues aren’t technical — they’re emotional, historical and about identity.
The opportunity is enormous:
- A stable constitutional settlement
- A modernised all-island economy
- Clear rights and guarantees for both identities
- And potentially a unique shared-sovereignty fiscal model
But the challenge is equally huge:
- Trauma
- Distrust
- Symbols
- Security
- Demography
- The zero-sum thinking of the old politics
A serious debate must be honest about both.